HIV/AIDS Skepticism

Pointing to evidence that HIV is not the necessary and sufficient cause of AIDS

Posts Tagged ‘condoms’

Condoms, Race, and “HIV”

Posted by Henry Bauer on 2010/04/03

In “Predicting rates of ‘HIV-positive’ — and racial cleansing” (2010/03/14),
I pointed out that the initiative for universal testing and immediate antiretroviral treatment of all “HIV-positive” people amounted essentially to a program of racial cleansing, because black people anywhere and everywhere test “HIV-positive” far more often than others, mutatis mutandis (that is, healthy black pregnant women of a given age test positive far more often than healthy non-black pregnant women of the same age; black Marines of a given age and sex test positive far more often than non-black Marines of the same age and sex; and so on).

In my book and on several blog posts since then, I’ve pointed out that the orthodox explanation for why blacks test positive more than others is unsustainable. That orthodox explanation sees “HIV-positive” as primarily reflecting sexual behavior; yet study after study (cited in my book at pp. 77-79, for example) reveals that black people are less prone to careless promiscuity than are others.

A recent comment from Nguyen underscores these points. He quotes from “14 percent of D.C. gay, bi men are HIV positive: report” (Lou Chibbaro Jr., 26 March 2010):
“A first-of-its-kind study of men who have sex with men in the District of Columbia found . . .  that black men who have sex with men had an HIV infection rate of 25 percent, compared to an 8 percent infection rate among white MSM who participated in the study.”
This is news??
In the 1990s, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention had already published data showing that black MSM were more often “HIV-positive” than other MSM, see Figure 11 in The Origin, Persistence and Failings of HIV/AIDS Theory.
In those data, the relative numbers were 45 decreasing to 30, and 25 decreasing to about 16.5, respectively, a ratio of 1.8 rather than the new report of a ratio of >3 (25 vs. 8). As explained in my book, the black-to-white ratio must inevitably decrease as the overall “HIV-positive” rate gets larger. Among repeat blood donors, where the  overall rate is minuscule, the black-to-white ratio is ~14–25; obviously that ratio must decrease as the white rate increases, otherwise the black rate would be 100% once the white rate exceeds about 5%. So the new report is even quantitatively consistent with earlier reports.

“In a finding that surprised city health officials who commissioned the study, . . . black MSM of all ages used condoms more frequently than whites.”
But if those city health officials had looked at the relevant published literature, they would already have known that, on average, black people are if anything less carelessly promiscuous than others.
“Yet the infection rate for black MSM remains extraordinarily high”
And if those officials had bothered to examine the demographics of “HIV”, they would know that black people are genetically predisposed to test “HIV-positive” more frequently than others, by a factor as high as 20-25 in groups where the overall rate is very low to a factor of 2 or less when the overall rate is very high.
“the report says, [the rate among black MSM is high] most likely because the number of infected black MSM is significantly higher than white MSM, increasing the chance of infection even if safer sex is practiced most of the time.”
HIV/AIDS logic at something like its best/worst: the rate is high because it’s high!
But also note the unstated but clear assumption that sex among MSM is racially segregated, that black MSM and white MSM are two separate groups that never have sex with one another. Yet millennia of history attest to the ubiquity of interracial heterosexuality, indeed that racial differences are often erotically stimulating.

“Though white men were more likely to engage in higher risk sexual behavior, more men of color were impacted with HIV”
Exactly and of course: because the tendency to test “HIV-positive” does not reflect infection with some putative retrovirus (or at least not chiefly such infection), and the tendency is race-linked.

Once again as so often:
HIV/AIDS theory finds the data inscrutable,
presenting an inexplicable, incomprehensible, conundrum;
whereas a Rethinking viewpoint finds nothing strange or unexplainable

Posted in experts, HIV absurdities, HIV and race, HIV risk groups, HIV skepticism, HIV/AIDS numbers, prejudice | Tagged: , , | 1 Comment »

Recent HIV/AIDS tidbits in the “news”

Posted by Henry Bauer on 2009/04/06

My initial purpose for this blog was to comment on the perpetual stream of “news” that continually underscore the fact that HIV/AIDS theory is wrong, incapable of giving satisfactory explanations for so many reported happenings. As it turns out, I’ve also been delighted at the new things I’ve learned from readers: Tony Lance, for example, provided a sorely needed understanding of what precisely about the “fast-lane” lifestyle could lead to life-threatening fungal infections of PCP or candidiasis.

A distraction came recently with the publication of Seth Kalichman’s extraordinarily bad book. My first impulse was to ignore it in the same way as I ignore the red herrings and  intemperate flaming of bloggers who are no less ignorant about science, its nature and history, than Kalichman is. But then I decided that a thoroughgoing exposé of his unethical behavior as well as his factual mistakes would have some value for the Rethinking cause, and quite a few recent blog posts reflect that decision. There are a lot more to come, because the depth of his duplicity hasn’t yet been plumbed, let alone the startlingly gross errors of fact in his book. But I thought I’d get back also to some commenting on recent “news”:

Uganda:
“Health experts last week warned that in addition to people mistakenly taking only one test, conditions for misuse of rapid diagnostic HIV test kits exist in the country [Uganda] and can lead to deceptive results.”

Not only “can”, but do and have for a long time. Moreover, the same media that are apparently aware of this continue at the same time to disseminate absurdly and obviously wrong “data”, for example, in the same story,
“Uganda has managed to reduce the HIV/Aids prevalence form [sic] 18 percent in the early 90s to 5 percent by 2000 and now ranging between 6 -6.4 percent.”

The only way to reduce the “infection rate” of a fatal incurable disease is to kill off “infected” people and not replace them via new infections; or, to increase the population; or both. Therefore, a reduction from 18% to 5% during the 1990s means that 13 percent of the population died, or the total population increased 3.6 fold (annual rate of  ~14 %!), or some combination of those two — provided there were no new “infections”, which in itself could not be expected.

In actual fact, however, the growth rate of the population was estimated at only 3.37% in mid-2008.  The crude birth rate of about 5% was only comparable to other countries in the region (Country Studies/Area Handbook Series, U.S. Department of the Army ) and the death rate of 1.8% was also comparable to that of other countries in the region. The only rational — and eminently plausible — explanation of the decreased “HIV infection” rate during the 1990s is the unreliability of the statistics. Nevertheless, Uganda’s “success” in decreasing “HIV infections” through educational and prevention and behavioral-change initiatives has become a shibboleth of HIV/AIDS dogma. It has also served to make Uganda a favored place to send dollars to fight HIV/AIDS.

“HIV” tests reflect — something, but not a pathogenic virus
:
The epidemiology of “HIV” tests among different population groups demonstrates that testing  “HIV-positive” may reflect a variety of physiological conditions, many of them by no means health-threatening, let alone life-threatening (for example, Figure 22, p. 83,  in The Origin, Persistence and Failings of HIV/AIDS Theory) . The classic review by Christine Johnson identifies dozens of conditions that can produce misleading  “HIV-positive” indications (“Whose antibodies are they anyway? Factors known to cause false positive HIV antibody test results”, Continuum 4 [#3, Sept./Oct.] ).

One can therefore predict that an endlessly increasing range of things will be found to conduce to “HIV infection”. A recent such triumph is the discovery that “periodontal disease” can awaken the latently sleeping “HIV”:
ScienceDaily (Apr. 3, 2009) — New research from Japan suggests that periodontal disease could act as a risk factor for reactivating latent HIV-1 in affected individuals.”
This is just the sort of fear-inducing “news” that the media love to seize on:
Gum Disease May Reactivate AIDS Virus
04.02.09, 08:00 PM EDT
Japanese study points to good oral health as a means to prevent spread of HIV” .
Not only the popular media, but also the EurekAlert service of that flagship of scientific periodicals, Science magazine:
“Can periodontal disease act as a risk factor for HIV-1?”

“HIV” “transmission” in Georgia prisons:
Possibly stimulated by misleading propaganda from ignorant AIDS activists (“AIDS activists spout b***s***; media pass it on”, 3 April 2009), the Georgia House of Representatives passed a bill requiring “HIV” testing of prisoners being released. One can only hope that the tests will not be those “rapid” ones that were banned in San Francisco for their blatant inaccuracy.

“HIV-positive” is not sexually transmitted:
Much data cited in my book and on this blog reinforce the conclusion that “HIV” isn’t sexually transmitted and that having an STD (chlamydia, gonorrhea, herpes, syphilis) does NOT — contrary to a common HIV/AIDS shibboleth — predispose to becoming “HIV-positive”. Here’s yet more evidence to those effects:
“Cases of sexually transmitted disease increased in Minnesota in 2008, according to data released by the Minnesota Department of Health on Wednesday. Young men and women accounted for the bulk of the increase . . .
the 2008 chlamydia data . . . saw a 13-percent increase among 15- to 24-year-old males, compared to the 2007 report.
. . . . With gonorrhea cases, the Twin Cities and suburban areas saw a drop in the number of cases, and Greater Minnesota saw a 14-percent increase . . . . Statewide, about six out of 10 cases occurred among those between the ages of 15 and 24.
. . .
In all, there were 14,250 cases of chlamydia reported to the health department, 3,036 cases of gonorrhea and 263 cases of syphilis. Chlamydia and syphilis rates have been rising for the last decade while gonorrhea rates have remained somewhat stable.”

By contrast, the total number of new “HIV/AIDS” cases in 2007 was about 300, about 200 of them “non-AIDS HIV” (Minnesota HIV Surveillance Report, 2007) .
In other words, “HIV” incidence in Minnesota is about 50 times less than chlamydia, 10 times less than gonorrhea, and comparable only to syphilis.
Note too, that while “HIV” is always about 4 times as high in urban than in rural areas, the opposite was seen with gonorrhea last year. And, once again, genuine STDs affect people aged between 15 and 24 whereas “HIV”, “AIDS”, “HIV/AIDS” deaths, all affect primarily people aged 35-45 (for example, Deaths from “HIV disease”: Why has the median age drifted upwards?, 18 February 2009).

Outsourcing; and government’s left and right hands:
“WASHINGTON — The last U.S.-based supplier of condoms for global HIV/AIDS prevention programs could be forced to shut its doors because the federal government sent the work to cheaper suppliers in Asia.
The change came earlier this month as Congress dropped a requirement that the government buy American-made condoms when possible, with exceptions for price and availability.
Congress traditionally has directed the U.S. Agency for International Development to use American suppliers for the hundreds of millions of condoms it sends into developing countries. The main supplier to benefit from that directive is Alatech Healthcare Products, a southeastern Alabama company with about 300 employees.
Over the years, Alatech became the program’s sole U.S. provider.
USAID says Alatech has had problems filling orders, and there were complaints from the field about the quality of its condoms.
Despite Congress’ direction, the agency has gradually outsourced part of the work to companies in Asia that provide condoms for less than half of Alatech’s price.”

Posted in Funds for HIV/AIDS, HIV tests, HIV varies with age, HIV/AIDS numbers, sexual transmission, uncritical media | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment »

 
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